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ACAPULCO KEVIN

"Those willing to give up freedom for security deserve neither and will lose both."
Articles Posted: 62  Links Seeded: 112
Member Since: 5/2010  Last Seen: 12/17/2010

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Let's build a train track for $117 Billion and pay $238,775,510 per mile of track

Tue Dec 14, 2010 4:32 PM EST
travel, train, welfare, dollars, amtrak, corporate-welfare, billions, high-speed, failed-projects
By Acapulco Kevin
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Back in September Amtrak unveiled a plan to create a high-speed rail system similar to the trains in China. And the news coverage was carried by all media outlets. It was a multi-billion dollar welfare blip that most of us have forgotten.

Amtrak has big plans for high speed travel from Boston to Washington, DC.

The company unveiled plans to build new high speed rail lines along the east coast with trains reaching speeds of 220 miles per hour.

Amtrak says it will drastically reduce travel times along the congested corridor with hubs in Baltimore, New York City, Philadelphia and Washington, DC.

Amtrak envisions a 30-year timetable.

Do you think a 30 year time frame is reasonable with $117 billion and only 490 miles of train track? They want to lay 16 miles of track per year? That is $238,775,510.00 per mile of track.

China currently has 200+ mph trains and more than 4,000 miles of track and intend to lay another 4,000 within a few years.

Turkey is currently building a high speed rail system. The Ankara-Eskisehir-Istanbul line that opened last year. It costs 40 TL to get from Ankara to Istanbul. That's about $27.

Americans need jobs and building the HS Rail line over the span of perhaps 5 years and continuing from there would be a fantastic plan and major travel improvement for America. I know we have enough men to build 98 miles of track per year.

Amtrak is a Tax supported travel service that likes big grants for little or nothing in return. They have milked the USA for billions and always want more.

I am in favor of giving Amtrak a grant / grants needed for this project provided it builds the rails quickly and gets the trains on the tracks. It is also time for Amtrak to become a profitable, self sustaining venture.

Amtrak has proven it self to be an historical failure at becoming self sustaining.

What do you think about the price tag and time spent for this project? Tax dollars well spent or just more welfare?

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  • Public Discussion (90)
Acapulco Kevin

You never hear much about the countless billions that Amtrak has sucked out of the USA

03/13/2009 Amtrak ARRA grant synopsis

With all of the cash they (Amtrak) has been provided over time the USA should have the worlds most advanced rail system.

  • 7 votes
#1 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 4:35 PM EST
Acapulco Kevin

Above is a link for the money they were given through the recovery act.

This link is for the proposal from Amtrak:

A vision for high-speed rail in the Northeast corridor

  • 8 votes
#1.1 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 5:00 PM EST
danp1220

If we build it, it will end up costing twice as much as they say it will. They always lowball the original guesstimate and come begging for more when they run out of money. It will never be self-supporting. If it could be done profitably, it would be done by private business, instead of a bottomless money-pit like Amtrak. It will take business from the airlines and we will end up bailing them out. It sounds like a lose, lose, lose to me. Despite all this, I believe the immense potentional for crooked politicians to pocket tons of cash will be enough to git-er-done!

  • 8 votes
#1.2 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 5:44 PM EST
Kshark

I'm not opposed to the rail system, it would be great, but the age old question, WHERE is the money going to come from?

----------------------------------------------

danp1220--

That is actually a reasonable analysis.

  • 5 votes
#1.3 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 6:03 PM EST
Venator

danp1220,

If it could be done profitably, it would be done by private business, instead of a bottomless money-pit like Amtrak.

Do you really think just because people are not interested in the business, it is not a good idea or needed? High Speed Rail, is a return on investment that requires patience in terms of dollar figures. The returns on investment in terms of benefits from a better transportation system can begin sooner.

It will take business from the airlines and we will end up bailing them out.

If rail is taking business away from the airlines, then what is that telling you about how people prefer to travel?

  • 1 vote
#1.4 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 6:13 PM EST
mgbirish

AK, thanks for the topic, sure beats most of the political ...hhmmnn. Good article!

  • 4 votes
#1.5 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 8:24 PM EST
Acapulco Kevin

mgbirish

Thank you for the compliments. I enjoy writing. Not easy finding interesting topics. I am really happy you folks are enjoying yourselves.

I have taken Amtrak several times and I like the trains and the views. I am a bit tired of paying such a heavy price for their inability to become self sufficient though. There are HS trains in other countries and we are in the dark ages. The USA just seems to slip farther and farther behind other countries.

  • 4 votes
#1.6 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 8:30 PM EST
mgbirish

The USA just seems to slip farther and farther behind other countries.

Amen Brother!

  • 3 votes
#1.7 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 8:36 PM EST
Venator

Acapulco Kevin,

Agreed, also I like to thank you for posting as well. None of mine seem to take off and I really enjoy debating the topic of rail transportation in this country.

  • 1 vote
#1.8 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 8:41 PM EST
mgbirish

Last month, the Obama Administration awarded the state $823 million for the rail line that would link Milwaukee to Madison and beyond.

But Walker, who's running for governor as a Republican, wonders if the state can afford it after construction is completed.

Newly elected Walker said, it would only be 5,500 temporary jobs! His state is at 8% unemployment, and he is concerned 5,550 jobs would only last about three years, un-elect him already!

  • 5 votes
#1.9 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 8:45 PM EST
Acapulco Kevin

Venator

Wow! You really are a train enthusiast! I just looked at your column. I see that you are seeding a lot of train articles. This is not a seed but an article that I have written. I am not much of a seeder.

Try writing about your interests and others will begin to take interest in your train articles. You might also try looking for Newsvine groups on the topic so you can reach people that share your passions.

You will develop a following over time. I am very pleased that this article has appealed to you especially considering your interest in locomotive technologies. I am quite honored.

  • 2 votes
#1.10 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 8:49 PM EST
Rob-LVNevada

Wait - a Governor is saying "why build it if we can't afford to operate it after we build it?" and you want to UN-elect him??? Huh?

Sounds like the kind of person I'd like making long-term plans for my state, honestly.

  • 4 votes
#1.11 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 8:49 PM EST
mgbirish

Wait - a Governor is saying "why build it if we can't afford to operate it after we build it?" and you want to UN-elect him??? Huh?

They said the same thing about, airports, interstate highways, years ago, remember?

  • 3 votes
#1.12 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 8:53 PM EST
Venator

Acapulco Kevin,

I am actually working on a few articles, but I am not going to publish until they meet my expectations and actually have more time to type them. I am glad I made you feel honored today. Thanks for the advice.

I prefer the term railroading over trains, but I am not going to get into that. ;)

    #1.13 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 9:02 PM EST
    rls8r

    Well, it looks like Walker and the governor of Ohio made convincing arguments - the money that was to go to those states is being re-directed. See here. Maybe the Ohio and Wisconsin voters are happy now.

    Venator - My uncle worked for the Seaboard Coast Line, and I've been a consultant to various short-line railroads. I've always liked railroading, but I'm afraid that lately my interaction has been restricted to simply riding them.

    • 3 votes
    #1.14 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 9:10 PM EST
    Venator

    Well, it looks like Walker and the governor of Ohio made convincing arguments - the money that was to go to those states is being re-directed. See here. Maybe the Ohio and Wisconsin voters are happy now.

    I would have to agree that, I was more for improving and expanding existing corridors first or at least focusing more on them. I think great commitment is needed to actually create a network on such a large scale like the interstate system.

    My uncle worked for the Seaboard Coast Line, and I've been a consultant to various short-line railroads. I've always liked railroading, but I'm afraid that lately my interaction has been restricted to simply riding them

    A legendary road, a respectable employer to work for. I hope you find time to relax and just watch them roll by. I great way to experience the heart beat of America and take in a great but to often shadowed part of the country.

    • 2 votes
    #1.15 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 9:36 PM EST
    rls8r

    My interests are now focused on historical railroad stuff. My pie-in-the-sky dream is to resurrect the old Manassas Gap Railroad (or a portion of it). The tracks are still in place (and some still used) in the portion of the Shenandoah Valley where I live. You'd enjoy reading about how Stonewall Jackson absconded with something like 60 - 75 locomotives and over 300 coal cars of the B&O line in 1861. He actually hauled a few of them by horse down the Valley Pike (now, Rt. 11) and put them on the Manassas Gap system at Strasburg (where I live). All but two locomotives were recovered after the Civil War. One of the unrecovered locomotive engines was put on a ship which was sunk during the War; the other is now on display in North Carolina. It seems to me that the Shenandoah portion of the old line would/could be a good 'commuter' route. Oh well...

    • 3 votes
    #1.16 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 10:23 PM EST
    Venator

    I can not even begin to narrow down the history of specific railroads that I find interesting. I have always found the era of the "Super Seven" the most interesting with so many mergers and achievements going on since deregulation.

    However, I find the history of railroading just as interesting as modern day operation which I love to experience because we are experiencing the great come back of American Railroading and I want to savor every day of it and take pride of this point in time. Is it perfect? No, but I find the best in things.

    • 1 vote
    #1.17 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 10:37 PM EST
    Reply
    Al in Oregon

    I think the 30 year time frame is ridiculous and the $117 billion dollar price tag will increase by at least 10% per year. Just the cost of manual labor alone in this country will prevent this system from ever materializing.

    Our country could certainly use a high speed rail system but I seriously doubt it will happen in our lifetimes. I think amtrak will milk this cash cow for everything it's worth.

    • 7 votes
    Reply#2 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 5:01 PM EST
    Acapulco Kevin

    I agree but what can I say? That is their plan for the future. And I think you are correct, the price tag will just increase with time. But hey, we are all kazillionaires right?

    • 6 votes
    #2.1 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 5:18 PM EST
    Al in Oregon

    Absolutely. I just planted another row of money trees and expect to harvest gogillions of dollars from them this spring. I'll be sure and give it all to amtrak.

    30 years LOL. Hell it'll take them that long to find enough people to do the manual labor alone.

    It's too bad the government couldn't have used some of that 900 Billion to outsource the railroad construction to other contractors that would actually get the job done instead of saying "thanks for the grant, may I please have another".

    The really sad thing is there are some very good HSR technologies at our disposal right now that we've literally priced ourselves out of. I think our country will see a hard crash before anything as large as a transcontinental HS railway will be possible.

    WHEN our country crashes (economically), labor will probably be cheap enough that a project like this one can be built.

    I'm still laughing at the 30 year time frame.

    • 5 votes
    #2.2 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 5:54 PM EST
    mgbirish

    I'm still laughing at the 30 year time frame.

    That would make me 91, I'm sure I will be below ground level...LOL

    • 1 vote
    #2.3 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 9:06 PM EST
    Reply
    Steve-2081387

    Just another way to suck cash out of the government. Follow the money and youll find out who is behind all this. Wouldnt it be easier just to give free airfare to anybody who wants to go from Boston to DC. Sounds like some Biden crap to me.

    • 5 votes
    Reply#3 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 5:35 PM EST
    RachaelMM

    Amtrak already has an express train route between Boston and D.C. It's called the Acela. It's got speeds up to 150, and it's one of the very few Amtrak routes that generates a profit.

    Why don't they spend some money to make Acela better, or more widely available? If they upgraded some of the lines between Boston and DC, the Acela would get from one city to the other in less than 5 hours.

    But, yeah, 30 years seems kind of ridiculous.

    • 7 votes
    Reply#4 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 5:45 PM EST
    Al in Oregon

    Between Boston and DC. Well at least the politicians are covered. What's REALLY needed is a HSR system that runs from one of the major northern west coast cities to the east coast.

    There are a lot of mid-west and plains states that could and would flourish if they had a better rail system.

    • 4 votes
    #4.1 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 6:00 PM EST
    Concerned Citizen-1303521

    Why don't they spend some money to make Acela better

    Unfortunately, there isn't much they can do to make it better. By better, I am assuming you mean faster. While it can reach speeds of 150mph, it only does this on 2 short tracks (one is in RI, I can't remember where the other section is, probably in Mass though). In general, it runs an average of about 75-80mph. It can't really get much faster because it shares the tracks with lower speed passenger trains and freight trains and due to some of the areas it passes through (like the dozen places it crosses a road)

    • 4 votes
    #4.2 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 7:03 PM EST
    Venator

    Why don't they spend some money to make Acela better, or more widely available?

    Concerned Citizen, states the major points as to why the Acela is being held back. However, grade separation can go a long way and can be engineered out with the proper funding.

    The Northeast Regional takes a little more time than the Acela, and still offers pretty good service. Real change would require a re-engineering of the route because so much of the infrastructure (like the catenary wires) need a major upgrade to handle faster trains. Making the trains sets themselves a little lighter could not hurt as well, but blame strict safety regulations for that.

    Long story short, the whole corridor needs an overhaul, including an increase in capacity if they are going to continue to run slower trains with the Acela.

    • 4 votes
    #4.3 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 7:15 PM EST
    RachaelMM

    Well no, I don't mean faster. The Acela rarely reaches peak speeds, because a lot of places don't have the infrastructure for that kind of speed. If they upgraded some infrastructure, the Acela could run at peak speeds more, and travel time would be improved.

    Al, it isn't only politicians. The Acela's major stops are Boston, NYC, Newark(?), Philadelphia, and DC. It stops in Delaware too, I think. Those are major business hubs of the east coast, so it's definitely not just politicians.

    • 2 votes
    #4.4 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 9:24 PM EST
    rls8r

    Wilmington, in Delaware. Home of DuPont, PNC Bank, etc.

    • 3 votes
    #4.5 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 9:37 PM EST
    Venator

    RachaelMM,

    Actually the Acela has more stops than what you have listed. I think the reason the Acela stops in Newark is because of the large amount of commuters between the two cities and fewer people willing to drive any further and/or simply easier to get into New York that way from Newark, but I am not sure.

    You are right, that even small improvements could increase the train speeds, but there would have to be "decent" stretches to make the extra speed worth while. Speeding up and slowing down constantly, is not going to be worth it.

    • 1 vote
    #4.6 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 9:43 PM EST
    RachaelMM

    Yeah, I was aware there were more stops, which is why I listed "major stops" not "all stops." I think there are decent stretches where they could go faster. A lot of the stretches of tracks in CT and NY, among other places, where the train could get up to speed, aren't equipped to handle that speed, whether because the tracks are too close together, or whatever other problems they have.

    But anyway, I'm in favor of high speed rails. I love traveling by train.

    • 1 vote
    #4.7 - Wed Dec 15, 2010 2:07 PM EST
    Reply
    austinrick

    I'm a train fan, about let's face it: after about $100 billion invested, the project will be 'too big to fail.' How many times will the taxpayer fall for that?

    • 5 votes
    Reply#5 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 5:55 PM EST
    Al in Oregon

    They've fallen for it in the past why wouldn't they fall for it again? It's kind of like the fly fisherman at the pond. Just keep on lobbing them out there as long as they're biting.

    • 5 votes
    #5.1 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 6:02 PM EST
    Reply
    Fed up with Republicans

    With and attitude like yours we would never have built the transcontinental railroads if all we were concerned with was the cost.

    • 1 vote
    Reply#6 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 6:01 PM EST
    Acapulco Kevin

    For $117 Billion we could have built them several times over.

    • 4 votes
    #6.1 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 6:04 PM EST
    Al in Oregon

    No attitude, I was just being sarcastic.

    • 4 votes
    #6.2 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 6:14 PM EST
    Al in Oregon

    But seriously, there are those such as amtrak (and many more) that see the government as nothing more than a fat cow that needs milking.

    I believe our country needs a high speed rail system but we need to approach it intelligently and not just start throwing massive amounts of money at the project like we have in the past.

    Yes build it but be smart about it.

    • 5 votes
    #6.3 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 6:22 PM EST
    USAF Vet-923294

    With and attitude like yours we would never have built the transcontinental railroads if all we were concerned with was the cost.

    Yeah....but that only took six years to go 1774 miles. Not 30 years to go 490 miles. Five times longer and almost 4 times shorter.

    • 4 votes
    #6.4 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 6:57 PM EST
    Reply
    mgbirish

    So much has to be firgured into high speed rail. My understanding is no road level crossings, etc., correct me if I am wrong! So there would be major construction to build high speed rail, which I agree needs to be done!

    People actually getting jobs!

    We can put men on the moon, but we cannot run a high speed rail system?

    • 4 votes
    #7 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 6:07 PM EST
    Al in Oregon

    There is much to be considered. What would be the most efficient Western and Eastern cities for termination points. Which route would intersect the best cities for dispersion. What areas are least prone to earthquakes. This is a golden opportunity to create jobs at a time when jobs are needed the most.

    • 3 votes
    #7.1 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 6:26 PM EST
    Acapulco Kevin

    I agree with that. I don't agree with the time frame or the cost. It is insane.

    • 3 votes
    #7.2 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 6:37 PM EST
    mgbirish

    What would be the most efficient Western and Eastern cities for termination points. Which route would intersect the best cities for dispersion.

    My guess is NYC to Oakland, main trunk, branches to be determined! Would have to feed the South and the Midwest as starters, then if it works, keep branching off the feeders!

    • 1 vote
    #7.3 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 8:13 PM EST
    mgbirish

    I forgot to add, bypass Ohio and Wisconsin..LOL

    http://www.news-sentinel.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/SE/20101210/NEWS/12100329

    Both Ohio and Wisconsin have elected incoming Republican governors who oppose the rail projects. Those governors, whose states have been hit hard by the economic downturn, had asked if they could divert the money to other projects.

    • 2 votes
    #7.4 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 8:30 PM EST
    Al in Oregon

    My guess is NYC to Oakland, main trunk, branches to be determined! Would have to feed the South and the Midwest as starters, then if it works, keep branching off the feeders!

    Oakland would be good but I'd like to see a mainline termination point in Portland or possibly somewhere mid-Washington. Lots of people and lots of international freight and passenger traffic.

    I suppose we could also bypass Texas. They don't need no steenking trains. :)

    • 1 vote
    #7.5 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 9:13 PM EST
    mgbirish

    Oakland would be good but I'd like to see a mainline termination point in Portland or possibly somewhere mid-Washington. Lots of people and lots of international freight and passenger traffic.

    Good points! I was stationed for a year at NAS Whidbey Island, married my bride 41 years ago, Saint Augustine's Catholic Church, Oak Harbor WA. Beautiful country you live in Al!!

    • 1 vote
    #7.6 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 9:34 PM EST
    Socrates1

    No, to high speed trains....what is it about the fact that we don't have the money that is confusing?

    • 3 votes
    #7.7 - Wed Dec 15, 2010 5:57 AM EST
    Al in Oregon

    Socrates1,

    What if there were a way to fund the construction of a high speed train without using taxpayer money?

    What if a national lottery could be established with all proceeds being dedicated to its construction?

    People with money are spending millions upon millions of dollars a year on lotteries. Those short on money don't have to participate if they don't want to.

    It's an old concept but it works extremely well. There is no need for the taxpayers to have to spend a single dime if they choose not to.

    If just a little bit of creative ingenuity is used, we can make this happen.

    • 1 vote
    #7.8 - Wed Dec 15, 2010 12:07 PM EST
    Rob-LVNevada

    A lottery is the best form of tax, for only those who want to be taxed, are taxed.

    I believe Jefferson or Franklin actually said that at one point in time. It certainly rings true today. Super-duper-once-a-year Grand Prize, free railpass for life. Win.

      #7.9 - Wed Dec 15, 2010 12:26 PM EST
      Socrates1

      And as to the maintainance?

      And as to other things on which that same money could have been spent?

        #7.10 - Wed Dec 15, 2010 2:30 PM EST
        Al in Oregon

        Maintenance costs could very easily come out of the same lottery. Simply keep the lottery going and that would make the HSR a completely self sustained system.

        Socrates1, there will always be poverty in this world, and we will never be able to feed ALL the hungry in this world no matter how hard we try. There will always be a "better" place to spend the money we don't have, and our government knows that in spades. Our government (both sides of the house) has done absolutely nothing but bury us deeper and deeper in debt. They have shown the taxpayer beyond a reasonable doubt that they are totally incapable of caring for the needs of the people without adding ever increasing burdens on an already over burdened taxpayer. Maybe it's an impossible task but by God we can certainly try, and sitting on our asses whining about the problems is not the answer.

        What would you have us do Socrates? Ignore our needs and forget about trying to think up ideas for making this a better place to live? If we do that our country will continue to rot away as it is doing now. We simply cannot continue to sit on our butts complaining about things we literally CAN change if we put our minds to it. But we have to quit thinking negatively or we will never be successful in anything we try.

        This suggestion is my best shot at coming up with an amount of money in a short period of time that would fund this railroad project without increasing the burden on taxpayers in the slightest. What's yours?

        • 1 vote
        #7.11 - Wed Dec 15, 2010 3:27 PM EST
        Socrates1

        Well...:)

        Projections have a way of being wrong....and why should a lottery pay for others transport?

        Not sure what you're saying in your second paragraph other then you complain about debt and then increase it.

        Where did I say....ignore our needs? I don't see this as being one...and I see it as an incredible expense at that.

        I don't have one and why should I? I oppose the project.

          #7.12 - Thu Dec 16, 2010 7:29 PM EST
          Al in Oregon

          Fair enough. You oppose the project and so do I (as it is supposedly planned).

          My second paragraph was sort of a frustrated attempt at attacking the seemingly negative attitude towards any ideas that might help us improve this nations transportation infrastructure without increasing the national debt. But I understand that it's hard to be positive towards something that you're opposed to, so all is well. I meant no disrespect.

          The whole point of the idea was to put a mechanism into place that would not only finance a new rail system, but maintain and man it as well. That would help decrease, not increase the national debt. But I understand if you can't see the positive side of it.

          At any rate, you missed the entire meaning and point and feel that our transportation system is fine the way it is. Point taken.

            #7.13 - Thu Dec 16, 2010 11:26 PM EST
            Socrates1

            Thank your for your response...

            I think you miss my meaning...I oppose it because is not financially feasible....regardless of whether it is subsidized through taxes, lottery, or some other form of non user fee. This applies not only to the initial investment, but even more so to the operational and maintainance costs.

            This would help decrease the national debt? I fail to see how running any program at a loss will decrease the national debt

            At any rate, you missed the entire meaning and point and feel that our transportation system is fine the way it is. Point taken.

            I don't want to stereotype, but this type of argument is generally not Conservative.

            Did I say somewhere that I thought our transportation system is fine the way it is? Nope.

            Did I fail to miss the entire meaning and point? Nope.

            Do I feel that the actions you support fail to even meet the objectives you support? Nope.

            Do I feel that you are therefore misrepresenting my position? Yep.

              #7.14 - Fri Dec 17, 2010 9:55 PM EST
              Al in Oregon

              don't want to stereotype, but this type of argument is generally not Conservative.

              I agree. It's not only not conservative but it's also not constructive.

              Did I say somewhere that I thought our transportation system is fine the way it is? Nope.

              How else should this comment be taken?

              Where did I say....ignore our needs? I don't see this as being one

              If our system doesn't need to be upgraded couldn't that be taken to mean that it's fine the way it is? If not then it was a misinterpretation on my part and I apologize.

              Did I fail to miss the entire meaning and point? Nope.

              That remains to be seen but not a point worth arguing about. Certainly not for me anyway since this is supposed to be a discussion and not an argument.

              Do I feel that the actions you support fail to even meet the objectives you support? Nope.

              Those are your feelings, but not mine. Like you, I don't support the topic of this article for a myriad of reasons including the ridiculous costs. However, I see nothing wrong with trying to come up with creative ways to accomplish this task, only at a drastically lower cost (if possible). I just happen to believe that if a project such as this could be managed at a realistic cost it could create hundreds or even thousands of jobs. People in those jobs would be paying taxes, and that could help lower the debt. People on unemployment are not doing lowering the debt, they're raising it. If studies can prove that a dedicated lottery system cannot generate enough money to build and maintain a rail system then fine, it was just a suggestion anyway. I am just not the kind of person to just shoot something down without even giving it at least some level of consideration.

              Do I feel that you are therefore misrepresenting my position? Yep.

              That much seems to be certain.

                #7.15 - Fri Dec 17, 2010 10:22 PM EST
                Socrates1

                I agree. It's not only not conservative but it's also not constructive.

                And I provide the appropriate quote...

                At any rate, you missed the entire meaning and point and feel that our transportation system is fine the way it is. Point taken.

                It's as if I were to say to those who support extending unemployment benefits that the reason for their support is to bankrupt the economy, not to argue that it will bankrupt the economy and therefore they should oppose such an extention.

                In other words, in most cases, the suggestion would be false, and yet would change the focus of the discussion as well as the "moral" implications.

                All else follows from that disconnect.

                Example...if I don't support this project, I must agree that the system does not need upgrading.

                As to the project at lower cost....sure....just as anything is "for sale" at the right price.

                As to my reaction....sorry if you feel the language was too aggressive....I agree that examing a variety of options can be a good thing...on the other hand, shouldn't one expect opposing views?

                • 1 vote
                #7.16 - Sat Dec 18, 2010 3:12 PM EST
                Al in Oregon

                Well said and good points. And absolutely there should be opposing views.

                • 1 vote
                #7.17 - Sat Dec 18, 2010 4:12 PM EST
                Reply
                rls8r

                You can find details of the Amtrak proposal in Kevin's Comment #1.1. In that report you'll find the following:

                The project's construction would generate roughly 44,000 jobs annually and $33 billion in wages over the 25-year construction cycle. Similarly, the Next-Gen High-Speed Rail system would support approximately 7,100 new permanent jobs within Amtrak, which along with indirect and induced employment result in a total of 22,100 jobs and $1.4 billion in annual wages.

                The report shows a C/B ratio of 1.05 to 2.26 (depending upon the discount rate). So, if the discount rate is high - the project may be questionable in terms of return. The project becomes more attractive if the discount rate stays low. Otherwise, folks thinking that the project is impractical should explain how the cost/benefit ratio is not a true representation of the situation.

                Now - a few qubbles with the generally very nice article:

                • China's trains have an average speed of about 200 kph = 120 mph (not 200+ mph)
                • They do have trains that go 220 mph, but only on about 1,240 miles of track.
                • The 19-mile Shanghai maglev train is believed to cost about $1.3 billion (or about $68,421,052 per mile)
                • Construction in Turkey seems to be a bargain. Construction of the 133.75-mile second phase of the Ankara-Istanbul high-speed line cost about $2.27 billion (or about $16,971,962 per mile).
                • The $117 billion total cost for the Amtrak line is the cost including inflation over 25 years - the PV cost of construction is somewhere between $41.8 and $72.8 billion (or between $85,306,122 and $148,571,428 per mile in present-day dollars if we're to compare the costs with the cost of present-day construction in China and Turkey). I haven't looked up the cost-of-living differences in the countries. I'll leave that as an exercise to the reader.
                • Construction of the Esenkent-to-Eskishehir section of the first phase of the Turkish rail line was advanced at about 40 miles/year. If the Amtrak line progressed at that rate the 490-mile line would take a little over 12 years. However, the Esenkent-to-Eskishehir section was a relatively uncomplicated alignment.
                • I think that the abbreviation for the Turkish train system (TCDD) is unfortunate. When I see that, the first thing I think of is tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin, one of the most potent carcinogens around.
                • 5 votes
                Reply#8 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 6:12 PM EST
                Ronin-2

                I wonder which politicians are getting kickbacks from Amtrak on this?

                I think that high speed rail is a major step backwards for the US. If you need to get something or someone from point a to point B faster than a train- use a plane. We have one of the most advanced and intricate airport systems in the world. Not to mention the shear # of commercial, private, cargo, industrial, and military craft for transport.

                Otherwise, most Americans would prefer their cars to trains, even high speed ones, for intermediate distances. The problem with the rail is leaving your vehicle behind- so at the destination you either rent one (defeats the purpose), use a taxi (expensive), or use a bus system- that depending on the area might be nearly non existant.

                High speed rail has a nitch in countries that do not have cheap air travel for the general population; and has an over abundance of cheap labor to install and upkeep track lines (such as China).

                • 3 votes
                Reply#9 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 6:12 PM EST
                Venator

                High Speed Rail is a component of a transportation system. High Speed rail needs to be fine tuned with mass transit systems that also need fine tuning. HSR is just part of re-tuning our transportation system.

                Considering Amtrak is seeing record ridership, it is hard for me to believe that people are not wanting better rail service.

                Airlines are nice but they are far from perfect and do not have the same benefits as rail does, especially on a regional basis.

                • 3 votes
                #9.1 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 6:18 PM EST
                mgbirish

                Ronin

                in countries that do not have cheap air travel for the general population

                I think we are there, pretty expensive to fly in the USA anymore! JMHO

                • 6 votes
                #9.2 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 6:20 PM EST
                Al in Oregon

                On the topic of leaving your car at the train station. You have to do the same at an airport so that point would seem to be moot.

                But that does bring up a point for consideration. It doesn't all have to be about HSR's.

                Cars could be piggy backed on railcars so they could go with the traveler. Wouldn't take much to implement that with what we already have in place.

                • 3 votes
                #9.3 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 6:42 PM EST
                Venator

                Cars could be piggy backed on railcars so they could go with the traveler. Wouldn't take much to implement that with what we already have in place.

                That is more complex of a undertaking than one would think. However, I will agree with you that the multiple modes concept is something that can be fine tuned.

                • 2 votes
                #9.4 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 7:02 PM EST
                rls8r

                Amtrak does have the Autotrain that runs between Lorton (near D.C.) and Sanford (near Orlando). It's been a going enterprise for a while now, but has never expanded. I just checked and the fare is about $200 (one-way) for the auto, and about $189 (one-way) per person if you want to sit in a chair. Fares are somewhat higher if you want a stateroom. The trip takes about 17 hours. It leaves Lorton in the late afternoon and arrives in Sanford around 9 a.m.

                I know there are others around the globe (I took one over the Alps from Switzerland to Italy one time), but I don't know anything about the technology.

                • 4 votes
                #9.5 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 7:34 PM EST
                Rob-LVNevada

                816 miles, driving time per Google Maps 13 hours and 25 minutes (lorton, va to sanford, fl).

                I'm thinking...17 hours in a train vs 13.5 in a car that can stop wherever it wants, whenever it wants for whatever it wants. Hmmm... Not to mention, well, I always beat Google's time...lol

                Reverse the numbers and your average American might be interested. $400 to go to Orlando for a week (as an example) and have your car just doesn't make sense when you can rent one a lot cheaper. Mind you, I'd certainly rather be in my car than pretty much any rental car ever rented...so I might be biased a little.

                Us damned Americans, we like to drive our cars...sigh.

                • 3 votes
                #9.6 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 8:40 PM EST
                mgbirish

                Rob, I think Al had a good idea, about bringing your car with you, say if you were going on a vacation!

                Like myself from Fort Wayne, to say Seattle,WA, And my car could come with me on the trip! What do you think?

                • 1 vote
                #9.7 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 9:02 PM EST
                Rob-LVNevada

                Hey, if you're going for a month, the economics certainly may justify it. For any 1-week trip though, if the car's paying $400 r/t like it does on the AutoTrain today, most people are going to be a lot better off renting a car. Maybe if it's a family of 8 that needs to rent a full sized van on the other side, sure...

                If you were going to SEA from 1/9-1/16, Hertz has a full sized car for $196/wk ($299 including all the touristjack fees and taxes). Even if you really love your car (like I love mine), an extra $100 to drive it while you're there doesn't appeal to a lot of folks.

                  #9.8 - Wed Dec 15, 2010 2:22 PM EST
                  Reply
                  mgbirish

                  Wonder if Airline lobbyist are against this? Air corridors are becoming more and more congested.

                  If I had a choice at my young age of 61, I would rather take a train than fly. I flew alot in my younger years, just doen't appeal to me much anymore.

                  • 5 votes
                  Reply#10 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 6:13 PM EST
                  ohiogal-479871

                  Lol! This is America. We can't do anything without making sure about 100 different middle men get contracts and sub contracts. And we will pay them all before one track is laid down. But what else can we do? If we tried to cut expenses by paying people directly to build that would be "socialism."

                  • 1 vote
                  Reply#11 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 6:38 PM EST
                  Al in Oregon

                  Oh yes we must be politically correct. :)

                  • 2 votes
                  #11.1 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 6:43 PM EST
                  Steve-2081387

                  At this point it is cheaper to fly than to take a train, if you want a compartment it cost about 3 times what it would cost to fly. Id love to take a train from Houston to LA but its cheaper to fly....go figure.

                  • 1 vote
                  #11.2 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 6:54 PM EST
                  ohiogal-479871

                  All in where you go Steve, it was far cheaper for me to fly to Japan than was for me to visit my brother in N. Dakota.

                  The train was cheaper than the plane.

                  • 1 vote
                  #11.3 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 7:41 PM EST
                  rls8r

                  I've found that around here (Virginia) the break point (for me) is about 200 miles. If I'm going to, say, Philadelphia or New York, I'll take the train; if I'm going further, I'll fly. Although the train is certainly slower - I've found that parking at the airport, going through security, getting bags, and getting a rental car eats up as much time as is saved by the faster airplane flight. Nowdays there isn't any food offered on flights - so I appreciate the ability to get up whenever I want to and get a snack or something to drink at the dining car. For trips less than 200 miles the train is actually competing with my driving - not flying.

                  Finally, it's as ohiogal says - it depends ... Flying between hubs can be cheap, but flying into local airports really raises the price.

                  • 4 votes
                  #11.4 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 7:52 PM EST
                  mgbirish

                  Steve,

                  At this point it is cheaper to fly than to take a train,

                  you are so right, given any competition (high speed rail), I'm sure airfares would go down!

                  • 2 votes
                  #11.5 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 8:07 PM EST
                  Reply
                  mgbirish

                  Cars could be piggy backed on railcars so they could go with the traveler. Wouldn't take much to implement that with what we already have in place.

                  Wow, that is a great idea, keep the cost of it coming with you, less than renting a car! Sweet idea Al!

                  • 2 votes
                  Reply#12 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 8:03 PM EST
                  Al in Oregon

                  Thanks :)

                  For the RV'ers there could be round table type loading and unloading areas that could implement drive on/drive off terminals. Again, that would not be very hard to modify what's already in place. It would certainly save a ton on fuel costs for the traveler and they could probably even ride in the RV from point to point if they wanted to.

                  It certainly would make it more cost effective for those who were trying to get from coast to coast via RV. There could be off-loading terminals in cities along the way.

                  I think that could actually be a doable project that would be cost worthy and actually functional.

                  • 1 vote
                  #12.1 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 9:21 PM EST
                  mgbirish

                  I think that could actually be a doable project that would be cost worthy and actually functional.

                  Better patent it!

                  • 1 vote
                  #12.2 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 9:37 PM EST
                  Reply
                  Gulliver's Island

                  I'm not an expert on this topic, but the northeast corridor, as it is called, is a fairly old run of existing railroad. Parts of it go back more than a century and there are millions of places in it that are just not suitable for such high speeds. Winding sections of track snaking through geographic features are going to have to be replaced with straight runs of track and there are already houses and private property hugging the right of way. It's no wonder that it is going to be slow going, and yes, it makes on wonder if it will ever be completed.

                  I think China has an advantage in that they are building their infrastructure almost from scratch. We have an aging infrastructure that is already in heavy use. We can't just take our railroads out of service for a decade to get this work done quickly.

                  Is it worth $117 billion? I don't kmow. A single railroad car costs something like a million dollars. Things cost money. Will it eventually save us money over airplanes? Maybe.

                  Perhaps we would be better off imagining a different location for our first high speed rails?

                  • 2 votes
                  Reply#13 - Tue Dec 14, 2010 9:50 PM EST
                  Gulliver's Island

                  Actually, a single railroad car costs $2.5 million dollars.

                  Whether building a high speed rail link between Washington and Boston is worth it or not is probably a complicated question. The cities it will connect are all fairly important: Boston, New York, Philadelphia and Washington. There's an awful lot of business trips each day between those cities. People fly now. They would take the train if it was traveling 200 mph.

                  A relevant question is whether the investment will ever pay off. Will the dollars turn themselves around and will the investment reduce our consumption of carbon fuels?

                  • 1 vote
                  #13.1 - Thu Dec 16, 2010 11:36 PM EST
                  Venator

                  The Acela actually does make money and the Northeast Regional comes close to it. Not to mention this should not be completely looked at as payoff in terms of money.

                  • 1 vote
                  #13.2 - Fri Dec 17, 2010 11:55 AM EST
                  rls8r

                  Even if it is looked at in terms of money - the B/C ratio exceeds 1 in the report for which a link is given in Comment #1.1. If there is a question about the payoff - then folks should look to that B/C analysis and direct their questions to those assumptions and data.

                  • 3 votes
                  #13.3 - Fri Dec 17, 2010 1:11 PM EST
                  Gulliver's Island

                  Then maybe there are better things to spend money on, like the electric grid.

                  • 1 vote
                  #13.4 - Fri Dec 17, 2010 1:22 PM EST
                  rls8r

                  Maybe there are better things - but what are they that are not getting funded because of the HSR funding? Are you saying that you know that the HSR will be built at the expense of not funding improvements to the electric grid? Can't they both be done if they are high-priority, B/C>1 projects? Perhaps the Mars launcher funds were (or will be) cut, perhaps there will be no more grants to investigate the social mores of mountain gorillas. There must be some projects less important that we can get funding from.

                  • 1 vote
                  #13.5 - Fri Dec 17, 2010 1:35 PM EST
                  Gulliver's Island

                  Actually, I misread your line about the B/C ration exceeding one. I thought you meant exactly the opposite.

                  I personally like trains, and if the benefits exceed the cost, then maybe it's a good idea. One concern I have is that we have a huge deficit. Is it an example of spending that will help keep the economy chugging along? Then maybe its money well spent for that reason. Another concern I have is that maybe the money would be better spent on upgrading subways and bridges. Will the benefits of a high speed train link be widely shared? It sounds like a plaything for elites, while the rest of us ride slower trains. What else could we do with that money?

                  I know some people will say "cut taxes." There's certainly a time for looking at spending with a critical eye toward reducing costs. But we have a crumbling aging infrastructure and it is one of the ways we are falling behind China.

                  • 1 vote
                  #13.6 - Fri Dec 17, 2010 1:48 PM EST
                  Venator

                  rls8r,

                  Understand what you are getting at and I agree. I never expected this program to succeed without adjustments made to other forms of infrastructure. The countries entire infrastructure needs an overhaul and HSR should be a part of this.

                  Gulliver's Island,

                  One concern I have is that we have a huge deficit. Is it an example of spending that will help keep the economy chugging along?

                  I really can not answer this out of certainty, but one of our main concerns is infrastructure that overall benefits the health of the country and a foundation for any economic growth to occur; whether it is HSR, power grid, sewer systems, etc; they all need investment.

                  Another concern I have is that maybe the money would be better spent on upgrading subways and bridges. Will the benefits of a high speed train link be widely shared?

                  Subways really only solve the urban problem. Yes, it needs work and I would agree that the urban systems should get some critical work done first, but it really can not reach it's full potential till they are able to collaborate with other systems.

                  Bridges and Highways are just as important as any other kind of infrastructure, but the plan for high speed rail is to help divert some of the traffic off of those particular pieces of infrastructure. We need to relieve the constant strain off of those road bridges which would intern extend the life of the structures, but can only happen if the traveling public is given an alternative option.

                  It sounds like a plaything for elites, while the rest of us ride slower trains. What else could we do with that money?

                  Honestly, more of the business will probably down better with trains like the Northeast Regional than the Acela. The Acela seems to cater more to the elite business men and women. However, the "slower" trains would also benefit from these improvements.

                  • 1 vote
                  #13.7 - Sat Dec 18, 2010 12:28 AM EST
                  Gulliver's Island

                  What it illustrates is that public works involve mind boggling numbers and you can't just dismiss a project out of hand because it has a big price tag. New York city would have no fresh water or public transportation if nobody spent the big bucks to build reservoirs, aqueducts and subway tunnels. We still need the courage to think big and we need people who can crunch the numbers honestly for us.

                  Therein lies the problem, public trust is at an all time low, and rightly so. Until we see some accountability for the people who just wrecked our economy, as opposed to underwriting their annual bonuses, why should we trust our government to spend large sums of money like this?

                  • 1 vote
                  #13.8 - Sat Dec 18, 2010 8:49 AM EST
                  Venator

                  You just stated the (in my opinion) the biggest problem. It is difficult to trust anyone public or private sector.

                  • 2 votes
                  #13.9 - Sat Dec 18, 2010 10:28 PM EST
                  Reply
                  lily-2798246Deleted
                  Free Mason-1490678Deleted
                  Big Brother Commission

                  Another wonderful method by the government to break the back of this country in order to prepare our nation and its citizens for national socialism and the one-world government.

                  Looks great in the present, but horrific in the future.

                  • 1 vote
                  Reply#16 - Mon Dec 20, 2010 9:10 PM EST
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